Nepean By-Election: Liberals vs One Nation | Live Updates (2026)

The Nepean byelection is a pivotal contest in Victoria's political landscape, with the Liberal Party's hold on this traditionally safe seat facing a challenge from One Nation and an independent candidate. The electorate, encompassing the southern end of the Mornington Peninsula, has been a Liberal stronghold for 36 out of the past 40 years, but the 2018 election saw Labor's unexpected victory. This byelection is a crucial test for the Liberal Party, especially with the statewide vote looming in November. The absence of Labor's candidate and the decision not to field anyone in this byelection is a significant factor, indicating a potential shift in voter sentiment. The Liberal Party's leader, Jess Wilson, is campaigning vigorously, emphasizing her party's commitment to the area and promising investment if elected. However, the presence of One Nation's Darren Marsh and community independent Tracee Hutchison adds an element of uncertainty to the race. The key issues for voters include the state of roads, the condition of Rosebud Hospital, and the impact of the US-Iran war on fuel prices and the cost of living. The byelection also marks a personal transition for former Liberal MP Sam Groth, who has stepped away from politics to focus on his family. As the polls open and the results begin to emerge, the Nepean byelection will provide valuable insights into the political dynamics of the region and the potential for a shift in power.

Nepean By-Election: Liberals vs One Nation | Live Updates (2026)
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